The first semi-final of the day seed 3rd seed Rafael Nadal take on the unseeded Fabio Fognini in their 5th meeting of this season. It should be an interesting match and it is first on the National Tennis Stadium at 12:30 Beijing Time (05;30 UK Time). Here is my prediction!
It hasn’t been the most simple road for Nadal to reach this stage. He had to work harder than expected against Di Wu, winning 6-4 6-4, and then saw off the tricky Vasek Pospisil in a tight 7-6 6-4 score line. He then had to come from behind in his quarter-final match, eventually seeing off Jack Sock 3-6 6-4 6-3. His best tennis of the week came in those final two sets against Sock, though he might not be able to get away with such a slow start against Fognini.
Fognini hasn’t had the most successful year, but has played some good tennis so far. His most impressive performance came in the 1st round where he cruised past Martin Klizan 6-2 6-1, and followed that by upsetting 7th seed David Goffin 6-2 2-6 6-2. He then faced another tight match before beating Pablo Cuevas 6-1 2-6 6-2. Fognini has played some good tennis so far, but may not be able to afford a mid-match dip like his past two matches.
The two have already played four times this year, and surprisingly Fognini has won three of them. He leads 2-1 on Clay and his most significant win was a comeback in the US Open 3rd round- he was two sets down. However Fognini can be extremely erratic, and it is important that he not only plays well but also controls his temperament. As for Nadal, he will need to play like he did in the final two sets against Sock but will also need to give very few opportunities to the Italian.
This should be a good match and it will be interesting to see if one player gets off to a quick start. It should be tight, but Nadal will have some momentum after those final two sets against Sock and should just edge this.
Prediction- Nadal in 3